The Beautiful Deleveragings
As shown below, in all of these cases, money printing and currency devaluations were sizable, nominal growth rates were pushed above nominal interest rates and the debt/income ratios fell. During the reflation periods, a recovery in nominal incomes lessened the debt/income burdens. Naturally, in cases in which the downturns that preceded these periods were very deep (e.g., 1930-32 in the US) the rebounds were greater.
如下图所示,在所有这些情况下,货币印刷和货币贬值均相当可观,名义利率上升至名义利率以上,债务/收入比率下降。在通货膨胀期间,名义收入的复苏减轻了债务/收入负担。当然,如果这些时期之前的衰退非常深(例如美国的1930-32),那么这个反弹就更大了。
The chart that follows shows the rates and compositions of the reductions in the debt/income ratios. The dots show the change in the debt/income ratios and the bars show the attribution of the sources of these reductions.
下面的图表显示了债务/收入比率下降的速度和组成。这些点显示了债务/收入比率的变化,酒吧显示了这些减少来源的归因。
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