The Beautiful Deleveragings
Last updated
Last updated
As shown below, in all of these cases, money printing and currency devaluations were sizable, nominal growth rates were pushed above nominal interest rates and the debt/income ratios fell. During the reflation periods, a recovery in nominal incomes lessened the debt/income burdens. Naturally, in cases in which the downturns that preceded these periods were very deep (e.g., 1930-32 in the US) the rebounds were greater.
如下图所示,在所有这些情况下,货币印刷和货币贬值均相当可观,名义利率上升至名义利率以上,债务/收入比率下降。在通货膨胀期间,名义收入的复苏减轻了债务/收入负担。当然,如果这些时期之前的衰退非常深(例如美国的1930-32),那么这个反弹就更大了。
The chart that follows shows the rates and compositions of the reductions in the debt/income ratios. The dots show the change in the debt/income ratios and the bars show the attribution of the sources of these reductions.
下面的图表显示了债务/收入比率下降的速度和组成。这些点显示了债务/收入比率的变化,酒吧显示了这些减少来源的归因。